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πŸ›’οΈ Sharp Drop in US Crude Oil Inventories – Commerzbank

πŸ›’οΈ Sharp Drop in US Crude Oil Inventories – Commerzbank

Posted on September 19, 2025

Key Highlights:

  • US crude oil inventories fell by 9.3 million barrels last week β€” a much larger decline than expected.
  • The drop was nearly three times larger than the figure reported by the API the day before.
  • Analysts in a Bloomberg survey had forecasted a slight increase in crude stocks.

πŸ” Main Drivers Behind the Decline:

  • The sharp fall was mainly due to a slump in net crude imports, which dropped by more than 3 million barrels/day to 415,000 barrels/day.
    • This is the lowest import level since records began.
  • The drop in imports was driven by a significant rise in crude exports.

β›½ Other Inventory Data:

  • Gasoline stocks also declined by 2.35 million barrels, more than the API estimate.
  • Distillate inventories (e.g., diesel and heating oil) rose by 4 million barrels, higher than expected.

πŸ“Š Distillate Market Update:

  • Since early July, US distillate inventories have increased by over 20 million barrels.
  • The deficit vs. the 5-year average has narrowed:
    • From over 20% in July
    • To just 7% now
  • This indicates a clear easing in supply tightness for middle distillates (e.g., diesel, jet fuel).

βœ… NLP-Friendly Summary

  • Topic: US Crude Oil and Product Inventories
  • Crude Oil: -9.3M barrels (sharp drop, unexpected)
  • Gasoline: -2.35M barrels (larger-than-expected drop)
  • Distillates: +4M barrels (stronger-than-expected rise)
  • Cause: Drop in net imports due to higher exports
  • Distillate Stock Trend: +20M barrels since July; deviation from 5Y average fell from 20% to 7%
  • Market Impact: Crude supply tightens, distillate market easing

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