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🟡 Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Pulls Back to $3,760 Amid Stronger US Dollar

🟡 Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Pulls Back to $3,760 Amid Stronger US Dollar

Posted on September 24, 2025

📉 Gold Price Update

  • Gold (XAU/USD) has declined to around $3,760, retreating from its all-time high of $3,790 reached on Tuesday.
  • This move snaps a three-day winning streak, as the US Dollar gains strength.
  • Despite the pullback, gold remains close to record highs, supported by strong gains since mid-August.

🏦 Fed Commentary and Market Impact

  • Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated the Fed will move cautiously on interest rate cuts.
  • Powell highlighted persistent inflation risks and a weakening labor market, signaling that aggressive monetary easing is unlikely.
  • These remarks have strengthened the US Dollar, putting pressure on gold prices.

📊 Technical Outlook

  • Gold has rallied nearly 15% from mid-August lows, and indicators now suggest a possible bearish correction.
  • 4-hour RSI has moved away from overbought levels.
  • MACD indicator is turning bearish, with a signal line crossover, hinting at further downside.
🔻 Support Levels to Watch:
  • $3,750 (intra-day low)
  • $3,736 (Tuesday’s low)
  • $3,700 (previous all-time high)
🔺 Resistance Levels to Watch:
  • $3,790 (Tuesday’s high)
  • $3,800 (psychological resistance)
  • $3,828 (261.8% Fibonacci extension from mid-September pullback)

💵 US Dollar Performance

  • The US Dollar is the strongest currency today, especially against the Euro (+0.54%), Japanese Yen (+0.52%), and British Pound (+0.41%).
  • The only currency stronger than the USD today is the Australian Dollar (-0.15%) relative to USD.

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