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AUD/USD Outlook: More Likely to Trade Between 0.6565 and 0.6605 – UOB

AUD/USD Outlook: More Likely to Trade Between 0.6565 and 0.6605 – UOB

Posted on September 25, 2025

Short-Term View (24-Hour Outlook):

  • AUD/USD is expected to stay within a lower range of 0.6565 to 0.6605.
  • UOB analysts did not expect the sharp swings seen recently:
    • High: 0.6628
    • Low: 0.6575
  • Despite this volatility, downward momentum remains limited.
  • Analysts believe further weakening is unlikely today, favoring range-bound movement.

Medium-Term View (1–3 Weeks):

  • UOB turned slightly bearish on AUD/USD on September 22 when it was around 0.6595, forecasting a possible test of 0.6550.
  • On September 24, with the pair at 0.6600, UOB noted that:
    • Downward momentum was fading.
    • A break above 0.6635 (previous resistance at 0.6650) would invalidate the bearish outlook and signal range trading.
  • After briefly rising to 0.6628, AUD/USD fell to 0.6575, suggesting that:
    • The probability of a move toward 0.6550 is increasing.
  • However, no significant increase in bearish momentum has been observed.
  • The key resistance level remains at 0.6635.

Summary:

  • Expected short-term range: 0.6565–0.6605
  • Possible target: 0.6550 if downside resumes
  • Resistance to watch: 0.6635

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