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EUR up modestly vs. USD on mixed second-tier data – Scotiabank

EUR up modestly vs. USD on mixed second-tier data – Scotiabank

Posted on September 18, 2025

EUR Gains Slightly Against USD Despite Mixed Eurozone Data – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) rose by 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) during early North American trading on Thursday. This gain followed a bullish reversal after earlier losses during the European session, according to Scotiabank FX strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret.

Eurozone Data Mixed, Political Risk in France Ignored by Markets

  • Economic data from the Eurozone included weaker current account figures and stronger construction output.
  • No economic data was released from France or Germany.
  • Despite ongoing political uncertainty in France, EUR/USD remained stable.
  • French 10-year bond yields (OATs) are now trading higher than Italian 10-year yields, reflecting increased political risk.

French Political Tensions Continue

  • France’s new Prime Minister is struggling to secure support from the Socialist Party.
  • National Rally leader Marine Le Pen called for President Macron to either dissolve parliament or resign.

Technical Outlook Positive

  • The EUR/USD technical indicators show a bullish trend.
  • RSI is near 60, above the neutral 50 level but below the overbought 70 threshold.
  • EUR/USD recently hit a high just above 1.19.
  • Resistance levels are seen at 1.20 and 1.2250.
  • Support is expected around 1.1780, with near-term trading likely in the 1.1780–1.1880 range.

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