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Gold Extends Record Rally on Fed Easing Hopes and Safe-Haven Demand

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Record High as Safe-Haven Demand Persists

Posted on October 9, 2025

Gold (XAU/USD) remains in demand on Thursday, rebounding from the $4,000 mark and trading around $4,035, just shy of its all-time high of $4,060. The yellow metal continues to attract buyers amid lingering geopolitical and economic uncertainties.


Key Drivers:

  • Safe-Haven Flows Remain Strong:
    The market’s initial optimism following the Israel-Hamas ceasefire has faded, as investors question the durability of the agreement. This has renewed demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
  • Political Uncertainty in France & Japan:
    Ongoing political and fiscal uncertainty in both France and Japan is supporting gold prices, as investors seek protection from market volatility.
  • Fed Policy Outlook Supports Precious Metals:
    Expectations of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are also providing tailwinds, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive.

Technical Outlook: Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum

Gold continues to trade above the critical $4,000 support level, showing strength in the ongoing uptrend. The 4-hour RSI remains below overbought territory, suggesting room for further upside.

Key Resistance Levels:

  • $4,060 – All-time high (April 2025)
  • $4,086 – 161.8% Fibonacci extension (October 2–7 rally)
  • $4,100 – Near-term trendline resistance

Key Support Levels:

  • $4,000 – Psychological level and October 8 low
  • $3,940 – October 7 low
  • $3,895 – Previous resistance turned support (October 1–3 highs)

The bullish structure remains intact unless gold decisively breaks below $4,000.


Outlook:

With market sentiment still fragile and global uncertainties unresolved, gold is likely to remain supported in the near term. A clean break above $4,060 could pave the way for fresh record highs toward $4,100 and beyond.

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